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SB Nation’s Bill Connelly Previews Nebraska Football 2018

With analytics, 2018 projections are based on 2017…and we know how THAT turned out. So you can guess how the numbers look for this upcoming season.

SB Nation’s Bill Connelly dropped his preview of the 2018 Nebraska Cornhuskers Friday morning, and from his analytics background, he sees a 5-7 record. But his conclusion might be the biggest takeaway:

Be happy with a bowl bid, in other words. S&P+ — which isn’t designed to take coaching changes into account — projects Nebraska 60th, with 5-7 as the most likely record. The Huskers have a good chance of starting 3-0 with home games against Akron, Colorado, and Troy, but four of their last eight games are against teams projected 12th or better, and they’ve got trips to Northwestern and Iowa.

It’s a reminder that Nebraska was really bad on defense, couldn’t run the ball and needs to turn to a freshman quarterback. (Who’s only competed against that same really bad defense thus far while at Nebraska.) Connelly clearly is on the Frost bandwagon, but his systems have to look at past production as a key to forecasting the future. There’s no way to quantify the changes strength and conditioning make, not to mention competent (oops) improved coaching as well.

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