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Historical precedents of losing coaches potentially on the cusp of a breakthrough

Serious question:

Can someone provide historical comps for a losing coach, who took over a program that hadn’t been ranked in the final Top 25 for the previous five seasons, being fired when the team has still markedly improved (as evidenced by an extremely narrow margin of loss to multiple playoff caliber teams, an improvement over previous seasons)?

I ask because people keep talking data points and historical comparisons. But Frost isn’t in the position of the typical coach getting fired. Callahan and Riley and Mullen all completely lost their teams. They clearly needed to go. In Texas Sarkisian may need to go for a losing streak they haven’t seen in 65 years and losing to Kansas at home.

But who are the coaches that were either kept or fired when there was clear improvement on the field, and when a legitimate case could be made that they were on the cusp of a breakthrough? I’m having trouble thinking of appropriate comparisons. Clay Helton?

Maybe a few metrics to be included would be program prestige (record/final ranking of the program 5-10 years prior to the coach taking over); change in program competitiveness (average point differential by season); strength of schedule in the season in question.



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